Friday, September 18

NFL Survivor Pool Pre Week 2

After going to for two on week one, I have now incorporated further information (most notably Fivethirtyeight's ELO rankings and Jeff Sagarin's USA Today rankings) and came up with this week's two picks of the week: Baltimore (Home and 80% chance of winning over Oakland) and the New Orleans Saints (who have a whopping 89% chance of victory at Tampa Bay).

This week, due to the results from last week, I decided to weigh heavily on both ESPN's FPI rankings and Fivethirtyeight's ELO rankings. I waited them heavily with a score of nine apiece while using the JSR rankings were only given a weighting of one.

New Orleans' 89% chance of winning weeks to a game at Tampa Bay is not surpassed, presently, for the rest of the season. The only two weeks of rate of 70% chance of winning are both weeks 14 and 16 against Tampa Bay and Jacksonville respectively.

Coming in at 80% versus Oakland, Baltimore has a greater chance of winning in week 5 against Tennessee and week 10 against Jacksonville.

Other notable this week, Miami and Jacksonville) is the only team to break 70% chance of winning their game this week.

Team
Odds of Winning
ARI
65%
ATL
42%
BAL
80%
BUF
41%
CAR
63%
CHI
35%
CIN
63%
CLE
49%
DAL
45%
DEN
52%
DET
55%
GB
62%
HOU
37%
IND
69%
JAX
30%
KC
48%
MIA
70%
MIN
45%
NE
59%
NO
89%
NYG
58%
NYJ
31%
OAK
20%
PHI
55%
PIT
56%
SD
37%
SF
44%
SEA
38%
STL
63%
TB
11%
TEN
51%
WSH
37%

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